Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001761 0.001838 0.001918 0.002007 0.002104 0.002208 0.002326
2025-07-06 0.001631 0.001738 0.001855 0.001991 0.002148 0.002325 0.002541
2025-07-13 0.001499 0.001620 0.001755 0.001918 0.002112 0.002340 0.002633
2025-07-20 0.001432 0.001566 0.001720 0.001910 0.002146 0.002433 0.002822
2025-07-27 0.001388 0.001535 0.001705 0.001923 0.002201 0.002553 0.003056
2025-08-03 0.001338 0.001491 0.001673 0.001909 0.002218 0.002624 0.003229
2025-08-10 0.001309 0.001471 0.001665 0.001924 0.002272 0.002745 0.003487
2025-08-17 0.001272 0.001438 0.001640 0.001914 0.002289 0.002816 0.003677
2025-08-24 0.001234 0.001402 0.001609 0.001893 0.002290 0.002861 0.003832
2025-08-31 0.001224 0.001401 0.001622 0.001930 0.002373 0.003035 0.004231
2025-09-07 0.001203 0.001384 0.001613 0.001938 0.002414 0.003147 0.004542
2025-09-14 0.001174 0.001356 0.001587 0.001919 0.002414 0.003192 0.004732
2025-09-21 0.001142 0.001322 0.001555 0.001891 0.002398 0.003213 0.004888
2025-09-28 0.001117 0.001299 0.001534 0.001879 0.002407 0.003276 0.005146
2025-10-05 0.001075 0.001251 0.001479 0.001814 0.002328 0.003181 0.005033
2025-10-12 0.001056 0.001233 0.001464 0.001807 0.002342 0.003250 0.005317
2025-10-19 0.001045 0.001225 0.001462 0.001818 0.002386 0.003377 0.005779
2025-10-26 0.001026 0.001206 0.001445 0.001806 0.002388 0.003428 0.006061
2025-11-02 0.001016 0.001199 0.001445 0.001820 0.002436 0.003571 0.006654
2025-11-09 0.001000 0.001183 0.001430 0.001810 0.002442 0.003633 0.007033
2025-11-16 0.000982 0.001164 0.001410 0.001792 0.002433 0.003659 0.007309
2025-11-23 0.000980 0.001168 0.001423 0.001825 0.002516 0.003895 0.008466
2025-11-30 0.000971 0.001160 0.001419 0.001832 0.002552 0.004033 0.009368